What is the Global Macro Tracker?

The Global Macro Tracker is a tool designed to help you understand and anticipate the current and future state of the economy. It monitors key indicators like GDP growth, inflation, exchange rates, and employment rates, updating in real-time. This information is then categorized into one of four economic regimes: Hawk, Cheetah, Viper, or Jellyfish.

How Does It Help?

1. Informed Decisions: By knowing which regime the economy is in, you can make better investment and business decisions.

2. Forecasting Insights: The tracker not only provides current economic data but also forecasts future trends, helping you stay ahead.

3. Clear Categories: The four regimes simplify complex economic data, making it easier to understand and act upon.

The Four Regimes and What Works in Each

1. Hawk Era (Rising Growth + Falling Inflation)

   • Debt: Convertible Bonds and High-Yield Bonds perform well as the economic growth supports higher risk investments and falling inflation makes fixed income more attractive.

   • Industry: High Beta, Growth, Small Caps, Mid Caps, and Technology sectors thrive due to increased consumer and business spending.

   • Market Segment: Consumer Discretionary, Energy, Industrials, Materials, and Technology sectors benefit from robust economic activity and controlled inflation.

2. Cheetah Era (Rising Growth + Rising Inflation)

   • Debt: Investment Grade Bonds are preferable as they offer stability in an environment of rising prices.

   • Industry: High Beta Consumer Discretionary sectors benefit from increased consumer spending despite higher prices.

   • Market Segment: Consumer Discretionary, Energy, Financials, Health Care, Industrials, and Technology sectors perform well due to overall economic growth, even with inflationary pressures.

3. Viper Era (Falling Growth + Falling Inflation)

   • Debt: Long Term Bonds, Mid Term Bonds, and Municipal Bonds are favored as falling inflation makes fixed income more attractive, and economic slowdown reduces the appeal of riskier assets.

   • Industry: High-beta and Quality sectors are preferable as they offer better stability and potential for growth despite economic challenges.

   • Market Segment: Energy, Industrials, Materials, and Technology sectors, which can weather economic slowdowns better than others.

4. Jellyfish Era (Falling Growth + Rising Inflation)

   • Debt: Municipal Bonds are favored due to their tax advantages and stability in uncertain economic times.

   • Industry: Low Beta, Dividend Yield, Small Caps, Mid Caps, Momentum, and Quality sectors are preferred as they offer resilience against economic downturns and inflation.

   • Market Segment: Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, Industrials, Materials, Utilities, and REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) perform better as they can pass on inflationary costs and provide essential services.

FAQs

• Who can use it?: Both individuals and businesses can benefit from the insights provided by the Global Macro Tracker.

• Is it a paid service?: Yes, access to the detailed real-time data and analysis requires a subscription.

• How can it benefit me?: By understanding and anticipating the current and future economic environment, you can make smarter decisions about where to invest your money.

The information contained in Amarii Holdings' website and newsletters is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. This information is not intended to constitute individual investment advice or to be tailored to your personal financial situation. The views and opinions expressed in these publications are those of the publisher and editors and are subject to change without notice. The information may become outdated and there is no obligation to update it. Any use of this information is at your own risk and Amarii Holdings accepts no liability for any loss or damage resulting from your reliance on it. You should consult with your financial advisers before making any investment decisions to determine if a particular investment is suitable for your needs.