Marathon Macro Week 17

Preview of Premium Membership Benefits

This week, we have exciting news for our members. We recognize that not everyone is in a position to invest in a paid membership, but we still want to provide value to all of our members. Therefore, we are offering our free members a unique opportunity to experience some of the benefits of our premium membership.

During this time, free members will have access to a selection of our premium content, which includes expert interviews, in-depth market analysis, and exclusive investment insights. We believe that this exclusive access will provide our free members with a valuable opportunity to learn more about investing and gain insights that they may not have had access to before. Moreover, we hope that this sneak peek into our premium content will entice our free members to consider upgrading to a paid membership in order to unlock even more exclusive content and investment tools.

Global Macro Tracker

The Global Macro Tracker is a reliable source of information on the present market environment, including insights into the Hawk Era, which is marked by high economic growth and low inflation. If the Tracker's analysis indicates a Hawk Era, this could indicate an opportunity to invest in long positions within specific sectors such as technology, consumer discretionary, and financials.

In May 2023, the Global Macro Tracker depicts a slanting up and to the left point during the Hawk Era, reflecting an economy experiencing Rising Growth + Falling Inflation. This indicates that the leading OECD indicator, such as GDP, is on an upward trend, while the urban CPI inflation rate is on a downward trend.

Such developments are positive for the economy, as they indicate robust economic growth without the accompanying risk of inflation rising too quickly. The direction of the slant reflects the pace of change, with the upward and leftward directions indicating that economic growth is increasing faster than inflation is decreasing.

DIMS

The Hawk Era could give rise to a bull market driven by strong economic growth and moderate inflation, but it's important to note that the complete arrival of DIMS (Debt Industry Market Segment) has not been confirmed yet. However, DIMS has confirmed that Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Materials, and Technology stocks Market Segment may perform well, suggesting favorable economic conditions and trends for these sectors.

As a crucial indicator of economic health, the DIMS covers a broad spectrum of industries, including banking, insurance, and other financial services. If the DIMS fails to confirm the arrival of the Hawk Era, it may suggest that the market's health is not as robust as initially believed, potentially indicating an approaching recession.

Consequently, investors should exercise caution and keep a close watch on economic indicators such as GDP, inflation, employment rates, and interest rates. By staying informed, investors can make more informed decisions about their investments and potentially avoid significant losses in the event of an economic downturn.

Through My Own Eyes

Looking back at the history of the market, the DIMS has proven to be a valuable leading indicator of turning points. Typically, the DIMS confirms the arrival of a bull run after a recession has started. This pattern makes sense as, during a recession, many financial companies struggle, leading to a downturn in the DIMS. Once the economy reaches its lowest point and begins to recover, these companies rebound, causing the DIMS to rise and confirming the arrival of a bull run.

However, relying solely on the DIMS to confirm the bull run may not be the most effective strategy. By the time the DIMS does confirm the arrival of a bull run, the market may have already seen significant gains. Instead, I believe that it's important for investors to keep a watchful eye on the DIMS during times of economic uncertainty. This way, they may be able to identify potential opportunities in the market before the DIMS confirms the bull run.

It's worth noting that this is just my personal reflection on the matter. As with any investment strategy, it's important to conduct your own research and make decisions based on your own unique circumstances. But for me, the DIMS has always been an essential component of my investment approach, and I believe it can be a valuable tool for others as well.

Marathon Macro Week 17

The information contained in Amarii Holdings website and newsletters is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. This information is not intended to constitute individual investment advice or to be tailored to your personal financial situation. The views and opinions expressed in these publications are those of the publisher and editors and are subject to change without notice. The information may become outdated and there is no obligation to update it. Any use of this information is at your own risk and Amarii Holdings accepts no liability for any loss or damage resulting from your reliance on it. You should consult with your financial advisers before making any investment decisions to determine if a particular investment is suitable for your needs.